The yield curve can give us a view on the long term market expectation of investors. If the curve flattens we might see an decrease in economic growth. And in case of an inverted yield curve (negative spread) we might see in a 12-18 month a recession. Source: data.treasury.gov
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30,000 feet view on market
data
| US yield rates | |
|---|---|
| spread (9/11/24) | 0.03bp |
| 10 years | 3.65% |
| 2 years | 3.62% |
| Boom or Crisis | |
| value (9/11/24) | 49.33 |
| Fed Balance Total Assets in millions | |
| last change | -10,671.00 |
| 9/4/24 | USD 7,112,567.00 |
| 8/28/24 | USD 7,123,238.00 |
| 8/21/24 | USD 7,139,952.00 |
| High Yield Bonds Δ | |
| 9/11/24 | 2,135.26 |
Why is this important?
US yield rates
Boom or Crisis
Our own indicator, based on different market indicators, similar to the CNN Fear and Greed indicator.
Fed Balance Total Assets
The Fed balance sheet shows us if the Fed is acting as a buyer in the market and inserts liquidity or if they take liquidity out of the system. Source: www.federalreserve.gov
further details
| S&P 500
9/5/24 -0.30 |
Volume is above average.
103.74% |
Breadth is mixed with issues bearish, volume bullish and highs/lows bullish.
advancing issues: 27.98% ; volume advancing: 53.73% ; highs/lows: 26/3 |
| Dow Jones IA
9/5/24 -0.54 |
Volume is below average.
94.69% |
Breadth is mixed with issues and volume bearish and highs/lows bullish (positive divergence).
advancing issues: 16.67% ; volume advancing: 25.12% ; highs/lows: 3/1 |
| Nasdaq 100
9/5/24 0.05 |
Volume is below average.
94.90% |
Breadth is mixed with issues bearish, volume bullish and highs/lows neutral.
advancing issues: 28.87% ; volume advancing: 61.97% ; highs/lows: 1/1 |
| Euro STOXX 50
9/5/24 -0.68 |
Volume is below average.
98.67% |
Breadth is mixed with issues bearish, volume bullish and highs/lows bullish.
advancing issues: 46.81% ; volume advancing: 79.35% ; highs/lows: 6/5 |
| DAX
9/5/24 -0.08 |
Volume is above average.
119.38% |
Breadth is mixed with issues bearish, volume bullish and highs/lows bullish.
advancing issues: 43.59% ; volume advancing: 78.47% ; highs/lows: 6/0 |